“…all markets clear, i.e. all supply is eventually absorbed at some price — but maybe not a premium price.”
Deni Pombriant from Beagle Research brings up a great issue. Right now, for most companies, sales forecasting is a thankless job that yields poor results. As he has said to me before, “If your sales forecast accuracy isn’t better than 50%, you’re better off flipping a coin.”
Unfortunately, for manufacturing companies especially, that level of inaccurate forecasting is simply not working. It results in an unacceptably high percentage of their supply being sold at less than optimum price, below cost, or worse yet, written off completely.
On the other hand, when companies use purpose-built sales forecasting applications, rather than Excel, they can significantly reduce both risk and uncertainty. Here at Right90, I’ve seen some of our customers achieve sales forecast accuracy of 95%. We also just did a webinar with Jim Dickie of CSO Insights that highlights the cost of not forecasting correctly—direct impact on number of sales people who make quota.
Thanks again, Denis, for raising awareness on sales forecasting as an effective way for companies to make their numbers—both revenue and margin.
